Insights

Aviation safety intelligence, from the data up.

Analysis of NTSB accident records, FAA data, and aviation weather patterns. Written for pilots and operators who want to understand risk, not just avoid it.

Featured Analysis

VMC-into-IMC: Pattern Analysis of 312 Fatal Accidents

NTSB records from 2003–2023 reveal a consistent pattern in VMC-into-IMC fatal accidents. Departure time, pilot experience, and route terrain predict outcome with greater accuracy than weather severity alone.

Accident Analysis

VMC-into-IMC: Pattern Analysis of 312 Fatal Accidents

Mar 18, 202512 min read

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Recent Analysis

Latest from the research team.

Research

NOTAM Comprehension Failure: A Systematic Review

Analysis of 180 incident reports where NOTAMs were issued but pilots reported unawareness. The problem is not data availability — it is cognitive load and information presentation.

Feb 24, 20259 min read

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Accident Analysis

Continued VFR into IMC: Decision Point Analysis

The NTSB designates continued VFR into IMC as a leading cause of fatal general aviation accidents. This analysis identifies the specific decision points where intervention is most effective.

Feb 3, 20258 min read

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Methodology

How FlightReady Calibrates Risk Scores Against Accident Outcomes

A detailed explanation of the statistical methodology behind FlightReady's risk score, including the NTSB training data, factor weighting, and validation approach against held-out accident records.

Jan 15, 202514 min read

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Data Analysis

Terrain-Controlled Flight (CFIT): Route Proximity as a Risk Predictor

Using 20 years of NTSB CFIT accidents, we model how route proximity to high-terrain areas correlates with accident probability under IFR and marginal VMC conditions.

Dec 10, 202411 min read

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Research

PIREP Reliability: How Much to Weight Pilot-Reported Conditions

PIREPs provide the most direct evidence of actual flight conditions, but their reliability varies significantly by report type, altitude, and time lag. This analysis quantifies that variability.

Nov 28, 20247 min read

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